The Pixy Cup 2025-26 #1

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Circle K Fieldhouse at Nexus Park - Columbus, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 RICKERT Michael A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
2 THOMAS Samuel 100% 95% 69% 29% 5%
3 LAGUNA Genevieve 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
3 RICHMOND Saoirse 100% 100% 97% 79% 32% 4%
5 RYCKAERT Ryan 100% 97% 75% 33% 7% 1%
6 SCHWAB Zach 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
7 BECERRA Karen 100% 95% 60% 19% 2%
8 JOHNSON Pamela 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
9 SCHWAB Jonah 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
10 MCKEON Nicholas 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
11 KRAUSS Garrett 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
12 RYKER Sarah 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1%
13 WAUGH Cooper 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
14 HARDIN Jackson 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
15 NEIGHBORS Katie 100% 96% 71% 28% 5% -
16 HEMMERLEIN Gwendolyn 100% 82% 38% 6% -
17 WAUGH Sophie 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.