PFA Holiday Open

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Phoenix Fencing Academy - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WONG Chloe - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
2 WHITE CAREY Alberta 25% 43% 26% 6% - -
3 DING Kyen - - - 7% 41% 52%
3 CHAN Ethan - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
5 TRIMBLE Jonathan - - 3% 13% 36% 41% 7%
6 GRIGGS Tucker - 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
7 JASPERSON Nolan 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
8 KUNIMOTO Zara 20% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
9 BECKER Valentina 22% 49% 24% 4% - -
10 CURLEY Asha - 8% 45% 39% 8% -
11 ROSAS Nathan 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
12 GOLDENSTEIN Amelie 1% 13% 40% 37% 8% -
13 PEDERSEN Arie 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.