Drew Page Memorial Open

Senior Women's Épée

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Sword in the Scroll Fencing Academy - Willimantic, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
2 NGUYEN Celena 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
3 HALL Henrietta 100% 90% 50% 15% 2% -
3 THIEMAN Alexandra 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
5 BASU Avneeta 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
6 DUNNE Jessica 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 7%
7 NICHOLS Victoria 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
8 COVINO Mila 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2%
9 MARASINI Bibhuti 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
10 BURNHAM Elizabeth (Liz) A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
11 DANNHAUSER Carol A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
12 SUMMERER Jordan 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
13 PELILLO Devyn 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
14 DIBENEDETTI Isabella 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
15 DARVAY Solomiya 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
16 PAGE Dannan 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
17 ALBANO Chloe 100% 53% 13% 2% - -
18 LITMAN Polina 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
19 CUFF Addison 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.