The Sledgehammer 2025 RYC | RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Elizabeth B. Searle '74 Athletic Center at Garrison Forest School - Owings Mills, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 MAJEWSKA Maria - - - 10% 89%
2 HU Emily - 1% 11% 45% 43%
3 GISCHLER Mila 12% 35% 35% 15% 2%
3 JEON Kristen 5% 26% 44% 24% 1%
5 TIAN Ariana 3% 18% 37% 32% 10%
6 ZOLOTUKHINA Adel - 2% 20% 51% 27%
7 JOHNSON Marlee 2% 19% 52% 24% 3%
8 JEON Karis 28% 55% 16% 1% -
9 NORRIS Phoebe 5% 26% 44% 24% 1%
10 WANG Selina 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
11 VU Claire 16% 37% 33% 12% 2%
11 ZHANG Manyao 3% 19% 37% 31% 10%
13 LI Karina 45% 43% 11% 1% -
14 HAROYAN Lilit 17% 42% 32% 8% -
15 SADHU Mira 29% 45% 22% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.