Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CAO Amelie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
2 JIANG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 LI savannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 53%
3 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 40%
5 CHUNG Stella 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 26%
6 MURPHY Genevieve 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 43%
7 GONG Hai 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
8 DONG Katelyn 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
9 ZHILKOV Anya 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
10 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 35%
11 ZHU Alivia 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
12 LIN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
13 HUDSON Sophie 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% 1% -
14 GE Deanna 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 7%
15 LUO lucy 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 29%
16 HEMPHILL Mia 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
17 ZHU Audrey 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
18 GENG Emma 100% 100% 94% 62% 18% 2%
19 ZHANG Caroline 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6%
20 LU Sophia 100% 97% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
21 KOESTERS Florentine 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 3%
22 YAN Miduo Elena 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
23 SFINTESCU Emma 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 21%
24 ELLISON Ingrid 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
25 DOUGLAS Addison 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
26 LEO Jenna 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
27 HOU Xu 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
28 KOESTERS Cecilie 100% 100% 89% 50% 13% 1%
29 XING Melly 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
30 LI Doreen 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
31 FAN Melody 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7% -
32 MCCLELLAN Florence 100% 95% 68% 25% 3% -
33 CHAN Kaitlyn 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
34 PAEK Ellie 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
35 LIAW Audrey 100% 100% 94% 69% 25% 3%
36 LIN Zhishan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 4%
37 HOLLIS Priscillia 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18% 2%
38 WANG Wenxi 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
39 FEDAN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 21%
40 OTTAVIANO Maris 100% 99% 87% 51% 15% 2%
41 YEH Constance 100% 99% 85% 47% 10% 1%
42 KIM Lael 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 1%
43 CHOI Cara 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
43 SUN Erin 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
45 GOMEZ Amelia 100% 90% 53% 15% 1% -
46 RUSTOGI Jyoti 100% 96% 65% 25% 4% -
47 ZHU Alicia 100% 76% 30% 6% - -
48 IRWIN Juliet 100% 82% 38% 8% 1% -
49 FERRARI Ande 100% 70% 26% 5% - -
50 SARAVANA Supriti 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
51 KIRBY Emelie 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
52 YOUM Amelia 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2% -
53 PAEK Mila 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
54 JAZWINSKI Ivy 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
55 SHUTZER Lily 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
56 MA Cloris 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% - -
57 SICHEL-OUTCALT Margaret 100% 91% 40% 7% - -
58 ZELDIN Nina 100% 93% 62% 20% 3% -
59 BENTLEY Amelia 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% -
60 CHESK Kamila 100% 56% 14% 2% - -
61 MACKINTOSH Quinn 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 8% -
62 CLOUD Chrystie 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
63 LIANG Jasmine 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
64 LOBO Sophie 100% 68% 23% 3% - -
65 JIN Emily 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
66 PARK Addison 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% - -
67 HURD Alexandra 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
68 MIN Claire 100% 26% 2% - - -
69 CHEN Rachel 100% 32% 4% - - -
70 JOHNSON Elizabeth 100% 36% 6% - - - -
71 TEE Cymbeline 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.