Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
2 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
3 YU Jane 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
3 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
5 FENG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
6 LI Katerina 100% 100% 100% 99% 82% 38% 5%
7 KIM Claire 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
8 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
9 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
10 SHIM Grace J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
11 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 14%
12 LIU Yinuo 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
13 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 18% 2%
14 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 42% 6%
15 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
16 HAO Danica 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
17 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
18 CHEN Sophie 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 13% 1%
19 JOO Sara 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28% 3%
20 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 100% 99% 90% 47% 11% 1%
21 SHIN Elizabeth 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 14% 1%
22 COLE Sofia 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
23 BERGEL Daphne 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
24 HUANG Sophie 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 13% 1%
25 JIANG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 5%
26 BASILE Gianna 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
27 SHERLOCK Gabriella 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% -
28 CHUNG Stella 100% 99% 81% 35% 7% 1% -
29 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2%
30 BADLANI Diya 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
31 MA Emily(Yiming) 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
32 BERG Samara 100% 92% 41% 6% - - -
33 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
34 BAULIN Zoya 100% 98% 79% 36% 7% 1% -
35 LAZAR Carolina 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
36 LI savannah 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
37 PELLE Lia 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
38 PEVZNER Sophia 100% 90% 53% 16% 2% - -
39 PUOPOLO Mia 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
40 ZHU Ella 100% 100% 94% 67% 24% 3% -
41 SUN Erin 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
42 JANSSEN Juliane 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% - -
43 ZINITI-LAU Elena 100% 97% 74% 34% 9% 1% -
44 WU Maggie Lei 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
45 REZA Fukaina 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
46 STEWART Isla 100% 94% 45% 8% 1% - -
47 CHOE Alice 100% 85% 42% 11% 1% - -
48 BEKIYANTS Elizabeth 100% 87% 41% 8% 1% - -
49 DEEKEN Anna 100% 97% 67% 15% 1% - -
50 ALBRECHT-SMITH Anne 100% 32% 5% - - - -
51 CLARK Lillian 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -
52 GOMEZ Sofia 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
53 JIANG Doris 100% 34% 5% - - - -
54 LENZ Phoebe 100% 42% 7% - - - -
55 GUSTAFSSON Anna 100% 23% 2% - - - -
56 OTTERMAN Jenna 100% 17% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.