Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIU FREDERICK 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
2 SALIBA Jackson 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
3 MAK Nolan 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
3 LAW Benjamin 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1%
5 YAN Milan 100% 98% 87% 54% 18% 2%
6 HONG Evan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
7 CHEN Samuel 100% 89% 56% 20% 3%
8 YIN Xiangheng 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
9 BEZRODNOV Artemi 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
10 LUO Sebastian 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
11 LU Shawn 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 23%
12 NG Remy 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
12 SHABASHOV Roman 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
14 GU Charles 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
15 GAO Kevin 100% 98% 85% 50% 14%
16 FLORES Gabriel 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
17 BACON Bryce 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
18 LEE Derek 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
19 SELOT Arjun 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
20 SHYU Brady 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
21 TANG David 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
22 CAVALLARO Xavier 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% -
23 SHAPIRO Benjamin 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
24 ADEN Xiyan 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
25 KASHIRSKIY Christopher 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
26 WILLIAMS Watus 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
27 NAYAR Kabir 100% 75% 32% 7% 1%
28 LAM-DANBACK Zachary 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
29 ZHANG Mason 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.