Morris Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
2 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
3 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
3 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
5 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
5 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
7 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
8 STOLCKE Julian 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
9 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
9 SUH Leo 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
9 TASIKAS Peter 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
12 WU Vincent 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
12 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 9%
14 HAHN Ever 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 14%
15 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
16 RAMONDINI Levi 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
17 BAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
18 SAGE Nikolai 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 21%
19 ZHANG Howard 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
20 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
21 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
21 SUBA Mason 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
23 LIN Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
24 BROOKS Drake 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
25 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
26 ROMBERG Sam 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8%
27 LI Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
28 ALUF Brendon 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 1%
29 ORIE Sohan 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
30 TANJGA Luka 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
31 DARLING Andrew 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
32 SO Morgan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
33 WANG ARAN 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
33 PARK Inwoo 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
35 SMITH Etienne 100% 97% 74% 36% 11% 2% < 1%
36 GAIDA Ashton 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
37 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
38 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
39 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 9%
40 CONG Mason 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
41 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
42 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
43 PARROCO Andrew 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
44 TITOV Zachary 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 48% 11%
45 PARK Sean 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
46 CHEN Mark 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
47 BALBALE Zayd 100% 100% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
48 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
48 CHEN Ryan 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% -
50 LI Lucas 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
51 ZHANG Simon 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
52 GAW Zachary 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
53 HE Nolan 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 9% 1%
54 BONEVELLY Nikolas 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
55 ANTONIO Elan 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 19% 1%
56 LEIGH Brayden 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
57 GRIFFIN Sid 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
58 GARCIA-ALBEA Diego 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
59 FOUX Jonathan 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
60 MESSINGER Joshua 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2% -
61 PARK Layne 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 7% 1%
62 ZHANG Mark 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
63 BLAIR Campbell 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
64 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
65 CUSSON William 100% 97% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
66 MITHUN Prabal 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
67 CARR Silas 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
68 LEISTNER Armin 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
69 NEUBERGER Jakob Felix 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
70 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 3%
71 DAI Ethan 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
72 HU Simon 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 5%
73 LI Sebastian 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
74 CORDERO Adam 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
75 VINCENT Yijia 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
76 FAUSTO Aidan 100% 96% 76% 40% 10% 1%
77 SIMEONIDIS Aris 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
78 LI Jayden 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
79 LI Anton 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
80 ZHAO Alexander 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
81 KRISHNAN Arjun 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
82 LEE Jeffrey 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
83 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
84 SABINO Bennett 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
85 SOKOLOV Lucas 100% 100% 90% 62% 26% 6% 1%
86 BLACK Bennett 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
87 WANG Harrison 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
88 MARTIRE Francis 100% 99% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
89 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
89 CAI Chengyuan 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
91 SEDAKA Dylan 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
92 CHANG Liam 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
93 GAW Christian 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
94 LI Kent 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
95 SOMANI Aarav 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
96 HONG Isaac 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
97 MAKLIN David 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
98 KONG Ethan 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
99 VISH Manyu 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
99 SHEYNZON David 100% 86% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
99 LEE Sebastian 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
102 BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
102 LI Xinren 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
104 COONEY Alexander 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
105 BURNS Carson 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
105 QIN Lucas 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
105 MARSHALLECK David 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
108 ZHANG Leaf 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
109 SZETO Derek 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
110 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 83% 38% 8% 1% - -
111 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 12% 1%
112 LLOYD Maxwell 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
113 YUN Matthew 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
114 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% -
114 CHEN Tyler 100% 70% 28% 6% - -
116 OLSON Prescott 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
117 BLACK Bauer 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
118 BARAVARIAN Cole 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
119 GARCIA-ALBEA Oscar 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
119 CHEN Joshua 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
119 VENKATESAN Akash 100% 23% 2% - - - -
122 WILSON Hunter 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
123 LEE Davis 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.