Retriever Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Retriever Activities Center - Baltimore, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
1 CARNALL Hunter 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6% -
2 HEALY Declan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 11% 1%
3 SHI Jiayang 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 75% 46% 18% 3%
3 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
5 AMIHERE Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 42% 12% 1%
6 IBE Chidube 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 56% 26% 7% 1%
7 NSUBUGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 42% 12%
8 PIRTLE Hawkeye 100% 99% 94% 76% 47% 21% 6% 1% - -
9 TODD Martin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 35% 9%
10 STEFFENSEN Lily 100% 100% 99% 95% 81% 58% 30% 11% 2% -
11 REARDON Isabella 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% < 1% - - -
12 MOLINA Rommel 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 3% - - - -
13 GROSCLAUDE-EVANS Antonin 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 25% 7% 1% - - -
14 COGGIN Patrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 76% 46% 18% 4% -
15 SIMS Martin L. 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 51% 21% 4% - - -
16 ASBILLE Caya 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1% - -
17 RIVERA SOZA Bryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 85% 60% 30% 9% 1%
18 EARLY Isabel 100% 99% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% - - -
19 ABADIR Ayyub 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 12% 2% - -
20 DOYLE Claire 100% 96% 79% 51% 25% 9% 2% - - - -
21 SULLIVAN Kailee 100% 99% 81% 45% 16% 3% - - -
22 LANIER Sawyer 100% 59% 20% 4% 1% - - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.