Gobbler's Revenge After-Thanksgiving Epee

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Brazosport College, Lake Jackson TX - Lake Jackson, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILEY Joseph (Scott) S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
2 VRUBEL Eli 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
3 GOODMAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 5%
5 VILLAREAL Quentin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
6 MODI Rohan 100% 97% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
6 MICU Constantin 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
8 GASTON Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
9 ZAMORA Daniel 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 7%
10 SCHIFLETT Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
11 WIRKKALA Nathan 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
12 CHEN Linus 100% 100% 95% 67% 19% 1% -
13 PARISI Nolan W. 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 7%
14 SUYAMA Ryuki 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
15 FRIEHAUF Travis 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
16 ROBINSON Jon M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
17 POOLE James M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81% 9%
18 GOODMAN Craig 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
19 PAUL Jennifer 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
20 AYALA Noah 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 5% -
21 VRUBEL Nathan 100% 73% 27% 5% - -
22 RASMUSSEN Eric 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
23 CASTOR Landon 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
24 RHODES Zarah 100% 98% 58% 18% 3% - -
25 BERRYHILL Jayden 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
26 WIRKKALA Ron 100% 100% 90% 47% 10% - -
27 RASMUSSEN Jacob 100% 83% 41% 8% 1% -
28 FERNANDEZ Fulton 100% 76% 33% 6% - - -
29 KOSMICKI Rachel 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
30 RAIFARTH Stefan 100% 96% 73% 31% 5% -
31 SADLER Daniel 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
32 VILLAREAL Heather 100% 32% 4% - - - -
33 CHARRIER Sunshine 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
34 RASMUSSEN Blake 100% 98% 82% 40% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.