Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, November 30, 2025 at 11:30 AM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
2 WONG Max 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 46%
3 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
3 JI Johnson 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
5 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
6 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
7 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
8 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
9 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 11%
10 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
11 TRZEPLA Max 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
12 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
13 RAJMOHAN Arya 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
14 SUH Leo 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
15 LIU Jayden 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
16 LIANG Morgan 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
17 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
18 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
19 HU Jayden 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 36% 5%
20 BALE ATMAN 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
21 TASIKAS Peter 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
22 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 1%
22 LEVY Jack 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
24 BERKOWITZ Gavin 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
25 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
26 LEVIN Jacob 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
27 LI Michael 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
28 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
29 SHEYNZON Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
30 WAXLER Alex 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
31 AROUNA Ilan 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
32 NAYAGAM Nishant 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
33 LIN Brendan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 14%
34 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
35 WANG Edward 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
36 SO Morgan 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 22% 4%
37 BAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
38 WAXLER Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
39 LOO Jason 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 6%
40 PERRIN Leo 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
41 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
42 YI Andrew 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
43 WONG Mac 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 27% 4%
44 DEMERS Bodhi 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
45 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
46 DOSTAL Maximilian 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6%
47 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
48 HU Harry 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
49 ZHANG Ray 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 3%
50 GREENE Kevin 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
51 AVERY Marcus 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
52 KETT Richard 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
53 ZHANG Shaoxuan 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
54 WU Vincent 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
55 ZHANG Weihang 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
56 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 2%
57 ROH Jaden 100% 100% 92% 66% 28% 5%
58 CRAWFORD William 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
59 MARTINSON Torm 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
60 STEWART Samuel 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
61 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
62 FISCHER Noel 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
63 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
64 LI Kent 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
65 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 31% 7%
65 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
67 VISH Manyu 100% 77% 31% 6% 1% -
68 BIVIJI Adam 100% 96% 71% 32% 7% 1%
69 LEE Damian 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
70 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
71 KOREN David 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
72 BROOKS Isaac 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
73 SONG Ryan 100% 94% 63% 24% 5% - -
74 ZHANG Simon 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
75 LEIGH Brayden 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
76 KUANG Cyrus 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
77 SMITH Etienne 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
78 BROOKS Theo 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
79 BEAL Colton 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2%
80 BROOKS Drake 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 2% -
81 CHEN Felix 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
81 SHANKAR Rahm 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
83 HELD Lev 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
84 HE Nolan 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
84 SOKOLOV Lucas 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
84 CHIANG Ethan 100% 98% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
87 GUERRA Corey 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
88 GAO Francis 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
89 LEISTNER Armin 100% 41% 8% 1% - -
90 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
91 PERRY Xander 100% 65% 19% 3% - -
92 LIEU Nicholas 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
93 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
94 SUN Stephen 100% 84% 48% 18% 4% - -
94 LEE Jeffrey 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
96 PARROCO Andrew 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
97 SAYAR Luke 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
98 FREILICH Harrison 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
98 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Juan Pablo 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
100 YANG LOUIS 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
100 DY Azriel 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
102 DMYTRUK Alexander 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
103 ZHANG Caleb 100% 90% 52% 17% 3% -
104 DAI Ethan 100% 81% 42% 11% 2% - -
105 TAKEBE Ren 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
106 TITOV Zachary 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
106 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
108 SHAW Micah 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
109 JARRETT Benjamin 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.