SBFA Thanksgiving Open - SANCTIONED

Women's Saber

Sunday, November 30, 2025 at 9:30 AM

South Bay Fencing Academy - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DUFF Caitlin - - 1% 8% 33% 51% 7%
2 HAN Emma - - - 2% 17% 47% 34%
3 JOHNSTON Sabrina 14% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
3 WANG YIZHEN - - - - 1% 17% 82%
5 BAEK Aileen 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5% -
6 LIU Hannah - - - 4% 20% 47% 29%
7 WELCH Greta 15% 39% 33% 11% 1% - -
8 TABANCAY Ava 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2% -
9 ZHANG Cecilia 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% - -
10 VIGNEUX Nolwenn - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11% 1%
11 IIZUKA Sawako - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6% -
12 WU Melody 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
12 FANG Lauren 20% 41% 29% 8% 1% - -
14 SUZUKI HAN ALISA 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.