SBFA Thanksgiving Open - SANCTIONED

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, November 30, 2025 at 11:30 AM

South Bay Fencing Academy - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Gavin - - 3% 15% 38% 34% 10%
2 DUFF Michael - 3% 15% 35% 35% 13%
3 JI Derek 2% 13% 36% 34% 13% 2%
3 CHUNG Evan - - 3% 19% 46% 31% 1%
5 BURKHART Camden 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1% -
6 WU Allen 4% 23% 40% 27% 6% 1% -
7 TABANCAY Cole - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
8 CONCANNON Jackson 24% 46% 24% 5% - -
9 CONNOLLY Hunter - - < 1% - 3% 37% 60%
10 DAUM William 30% 44% 21% 5% - -
11 YANG Collin 5% 27% 40% 23% 5% - -
12 DAVIDSON Ethan 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
13 YUEN Aulden < 1% 1% 9% 32% 42% 16%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.