Salle Auriol Seattle RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LEWIS Michael 100% 99% 89% 55% 16%
2 WANG Aaron 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 5%
3 TOYOFUKU Lucas 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
3 BREILING Nikki 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
5 ST CLAIR Soren 100% 96% 67% 26% 4%
6 DENG Andes 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
7 WANG Juehan 100% 70% 25% 4% -
8 LI Timothy 100% 100% 91% 59% 18%
9 GOWDA Suyog 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
10 OLSON Kevin 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
11 GOROZA Eric 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 6%
12 HARRISKING Benjamin 100% 99% 84% 46% 11%
13 MYRAH Devin 100% 98% 81% 40% 9% 1%
14 MOU Jaydon 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
15 CHAN Joseph 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
16 JONES Colby 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
17 MONTGOMERY Elliot 100% 94% 66% 23% 3%
18 BREILING Sebastian 100% 83% 40% 9% 1%
19 CLIFTON Ian 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
20 DAN Rex 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
21 KREIDL Attila N. 100% 92% 51% 14% 2% -
22 CASONI Calder 100% 35% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.