Gold, Frankincense, and Myrrhder

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 3:30 PM

CFFA - Tileston Gym at St. Mary - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 87%
2 CLICK Tristan 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
3 JONES Jackson 100% 99% 86% 50% 12%
3 UNZHAKOV Konstantin 100% 92% 43% 8% < 1%
5 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
6 RUSSELL James 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
7 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 100% 100% 99% 84% 39%
8 CUTHBERTSON Dax 100% 81% 35% 4% -
9 MILLER Ryan M. 100% 100% 96% 71% 22%
10 FACEY Zion 100% 97% 70% 24% 3%
11 O'DEA Ryan 100% 94% 66% 26% 4%
12 MALONE Jacob 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
13 PRABHU Srinish 100% 55% 15% 2% -
14 FONG Henry 100% 89% 53% 16% 2%
15 VERGARA Jace Riley 100% 89% 48% 13% 1%
16 PERI Mourya 100% 70% 27% 5% -
17 BICKTA Joshua 100% 85% 42% 8% -
18 SANFORD Kenyatta L. 100% 100% 93% 42% 4%
19 WHITE Joshua H. 100% 100% 93% 59% 6%
20 WHITE Taylor 100% 98% 80% 40% 8%
21 THOMAS Jr. Robert D. 100% 99% 81% 34% 5%
22 JULIEN Erica 100% 31% 3% - -
23 SANTIAGO Charles 100% 97% 72% 19% 1%
24 TAURMAN Jr. Patrick J. 100% 72% 25% 2% -
25 FARRER Brennecke E 100% 25% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.