Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOSLEY Wally - - - 2% 13% 38% 46%
2 KHUSHRAJ Rohan - - - 2% 12% 41% 46%
3 LEE Leo - - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
3 TIAN Dylan - - 2% 12% 35% 40% 11%
5 LU Ian - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
5 DU Evan - - - - 2% 22% 76%
7 LEE Lucas - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
8 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
9 WONG Kyle - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
10 DING Max - - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
11 LI Vance - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
12 ROBERTS Arthur - - 2% 13% 36% 38% 11%
13 RAU Shogun - - 5% 22% 44% 30%
14 YOO Lucas - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
15 JIN JETFAN - - - 3% 15% 42% 40%
16 ELARDO Griffin 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
17 ZHAO Luke - 4% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
18 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
19 WU Nathan - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
20 GUO Jonathan - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
21 LIU William 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
22 PINCHUK Spencer 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
23 FONG Ethan 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
24 CHI Zachary 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 3% -
25 LIU Yihong - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
26 HAN Alex 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8% -
27 JU Shang - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
27 LI Connor 3% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1%
29 HUA Nolan - 2% 11% 26% 34% 21% 5%
30 BOROVIKOV Alexander - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
31 YIM Antonio - 5% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
32 FU Benjamin - 1% 6% 23% 40% 26% 5%
33 KIM Hayden - 1% 8% 27% 40% 21% 3%
34 LI Stephen - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
35 SHIH Derek - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
36 LIN Bryan - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
37 YOON Ian 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
38 LAU Jesse 6% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
39 CHU Clayton - 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
39 PARK Sean 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
39 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
42 LI nathan zeting 10% 35% 38% 14% 2% - -
43 CHANG Ephram - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
44 LEE Daniel 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% 1% -
45 AKKARA Skyler 13% 34% 34% 15% 4% - -
46 ZHANG Jenson 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
47 YUN Mason - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
47 YIM Benjamin - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
49 KONG Dean 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
50 LEUNG Joon - 5% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
51 YANG Rony 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1% -
52 SZETO Jonathan 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
53 LEE Connor 10% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
54 LI Kingston 1% 11% 32% 38% 17% 2%
55 LI John - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 2%
56 LIU Aiden 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
57 LIU Victor 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
58 TENG Eric 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
58 KOU Logan 37% 41% 17% 3% - - -
60 SI Alexander 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
61 REN Mark - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
62 JI Dylan 8% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
63 BUSH Andrew 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
64 DUCOURNAU Enzo 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2% -
65 LI Ethan 3% 19% 38% 29% 10% 2% -
66 NISHIOKA Hiro 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
67 HONG Eason 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
68 DING Daniel - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 5%
69 SHI Ethan 5% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
70 LU Mark 29% 42% 23% 5% 1% - -
71 COLLET Camden 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
72 WANG Alexander 42% 41% 14% 2% - -
73 HAO Hardy 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
74 REED Andrew 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
75 XUE Jason 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
76 BALDWIN Liam 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
77 YANG Mikey 9% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
78 DOLEZAL Grayson 11% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
79 ZHANG Jason < 1% 8% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
79 LEE Zeo 45% 41% 13% 2% - - -
81 THORSON Urban 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
82 DAI Greyson 42% 41% 15% 2% - - -
83 LASCH Thomas 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.