Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-10 Women's Saber

Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG April 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 11%
2 CERVERA Zoe 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
3 LUC Christabel 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
3 WONG Chelsea 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
5 CHAN Clara Minna 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
7 CHANG Jillian 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% -
8 LAKHIANI Inisha 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
9 LIU Kaylee 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
10 ZHOU Charlotte 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 12%
11 KIM Addison 100% 100% 96% 74% 25% 1%
12 FANG Kaitlyn 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1%
13 KIM Serena 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3% -
14 JIANG Harper 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 9% 1%
15 QIU Isla Qiu 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
16 PENG Angeline 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
17 SU Stacy 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
18 CORD Serena 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
19 PARR Arya 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
20 GEORGE McKenzie 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
21 CHEN Chelsea 100% 100% 98% 86% 60% 26% 5%
22 ZHANG Madeline 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
23 LEE Ella 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 17% 3%
24 NIP Sienna 100% 93% 57% 17% 2% -
25 LIU Esther 100% 100% 99% 85% 45% 9%
26 TSENG Kimberly 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11%
27 CHEN Emma 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% -
28 YANG Callie 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
29 HAN Rachel 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 10%
30 LEI Chloe 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
31 LEI Allison 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 7%
32 KUNIMOTO Zara 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
33 DJUNAEDI Chloe 100% 56% 16% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.