James Madison University Open (at Richmond Fencing Club)

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, December 7, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOON Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 38% 8%
2 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
3 ELIAN David 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
3 WANG Ziyao 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
5 RACHAPROLU Divyagnyaan Siddartha 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 24% 2%
6 HOWERTON Beckett 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
7 FANG Darcy 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2%
8 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
9 MOFFITT William 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% -
10 SU Ji 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
11 BAIN Tiernan 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 8%
12 ALLEN Asa 100% 100% 86% 48% 14% 2%
13 GOLART Dylan 100% 98% 72% 30% 5% -
14 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1%
15 CRESSWELL Lochlann 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 2%
16 SHELLY Emery 100% 99% 84% 45% 10% -
17 JAFAR Abdullah 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
18 URIBE David 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
19 YAMATANI Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 12%
20 WIZEMAN Nathan 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
21 ZHOU Deborah 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
22 PARR William 100% 87% 47% 9% 1% - -
23 CLICK Joe 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
24 GIPE Caleb 100% 98% 78% 37% 8% -
25 SCHUPPIN Charles 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1%
26 CLEMMONS William 100% 75% 27% 2% - - -
27 ESCOBAR Nikolas 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
28 HUANG Anni 100% 39% 7% 1% - -
29 ROCK Charles 100% 85% 46% 12% 1% -
30 MOTA CERVANTES Adrian 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
31 COUCH Cassie 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.