Event Preview
December NACThursday, December 9, 2021 at 1:00 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3812 | 3854 - 3785 |
| 5 - 8 | 3645 | 3741 - 3504 |
| 9 - 16 | 3433 | 3512 - 3310 |
| 17 - 32 | 3196 | 3289 - 3119 |
| 33 - 64 | 2965 | 3117 - 2790 |
| 65 - 128 | 2439 | 2978 - 1504 |
| 129 - 133 | 1889 | 2500 - 1395 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.