Event Preview
December NACThursday, December 9, 2021 at 1:00 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3805 | 3862 - 3756 |
| 5 - 8 | 3654 | 3751 - 3531 |
| 9 - 16 | 3427 | 3495 - 3304 |
| 17 - 32 | 3203 | 3289 - 3124 |
| 33 - 64 | 2969 | 3119 - 2798 |
| 65 - 128 | 2442 | 2978 - 1504 |
| 129 - 133 | 1889 | 2500 - 1395 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.