Event Preview
December NACThursday, December 9, 2021 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3774 | 4008 - 3603 |
| 5 - 8 | 3564 | 3591 - 3533 |
| 9 - 16 | 3432 | 3486 - 3398 |
| 17 - 32 | 3295 | 3393 - 3228 |
| 33 - 64 | 3085 | 3229 - 2949 |
| 65 - 128 | 2775 | 3036 - 2527 |
| 129 - 185 | 2336 | 2901 - 1739 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.