Event Preview
December NACThursday, December 9, 2021 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3783 | 4005 - 3643 |
| 5 - 8 | 3571 | 3602 - 3542 |
| 9 - 16 | 3439 | 3525 - 3387 |
| 17 - 32 | 3295 | 3393 - 3225 |
| 33 - 64 | 3080 | 3241 - 2949 |
| 65 - 128 | 2785 | 3036 - 2522 |
| 129 - 188 | 2348 | 2901 - 1739 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.