Event Preview
December NACThursday, December 9, 2021 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3783 | 4005 - 3643 |
| 5 - 8 | 3568 | 3602 - 3529 |
| 9 - 16 | 3442 | 3554 - 3392 |
| 17 - 32 | 3297 | 3389 - 3228 |
| 33 - 64 | 3085 | 3225 - 2949 |
| 65 - 128 | 2772 | 3036 - 2525 |
| 129 - 185 | 2342 | 2901 - 1739 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.