Event Preview
December NACThursday, December 9, 2021 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3790 | 4005 - 3644 |
| 5 - 8 | 3589 | 3643 - 3540 |
| 9 - 16 | 3448 | 3523 - 3395 |
| 17 - 32 | 3295 | 3405 - 3225 |
| 33 - 64 | 3079 | 3235 - 2949 |
| 65 - 128 | 2783 | 3036 - 2529 |
| 129 - 188 | 2348 | 2901 - 1739 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.