The Crescent City Open RYC/RJCC/ROC (ICE)

Div III Men's Épée

Friday, December 12, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Riverside Hilton / Fitness Center - New Orleans, LA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOY Tanner 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
2 PERLENFEIN Tyler J. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
3 PATEL Avi S. 100% 97% 72% 23% 3%
3 VILLAREAL Quentin 100% 100% 98% 82% 34%
5 O'CONNOR Ryan (Ryan O'Connor) D. 100% 100% 98% 83% 34%
6 PARISI Nolan W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 15%
7 FORAKER Hudson 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
9 CHIZ Max H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 21%
10 ULRICH Jacob 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
11 FORD Bryce 100% 99% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
12 RUSS Zachary 100% 76% 27% 3% -
13 SADLER Allen 100% 57% 12% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.