2nd Annual BBFC RYC and Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Tarkanian Basketball Center - Las Vegas, NV, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOROAICA Seiku 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 29% 2%
2 CHEN Aaron 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
3 JI Derek 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
3 DESAI Arthav 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
5 TABANCAY Cole 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
6 LEE Hubert Junhu 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 6%
7 HSIEH Sebastian 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 5% -
8 CHEN Donovan 100% 99% 90% 60% 19% 2%
9 FAN Yuchen 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4%
10 XIN Ryan 100% 70% 23% 3% - < 1% -
12 FAN Yuen 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
13 LI Jason 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
14 CONCANNON Jackson 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
15 LIU Kimtrell 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 6%
16 QIAO Jason 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
17 SUN alan 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% -
18 LIU Jayden 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
19 GALANG Aiden 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
20 BOURCIER Rowan 100% 49% 12% 2% - -
21 CHANG Allen 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
22 LOVELL Jackson 100% 95% 62% 21% 3% -
23 LARSON Matthew 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
24 YUEN Aulden 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
25 KHUU HALL Gibson 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
26 KROESEN Jack 100% 100% 91% 46% 10% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.