Event Preview
December NACSaturday, December 11, 2021 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4078 | 4354 - 3956 |
| 5 - 8 | 3844 | 3876 - 3800 |
| 9 - 16 | 3737 | 3817 - 3655 |
| 17 - 32 | 3527 | 3738 - 3431 |
| 33 - 64 | 3236 | 3437 - 3109 |
| 65 - 128 | 2876 | 3182 - 2618 |
| 129 - 193 | 2354 | 3151 - 1108 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.