Event Preview
December NACSunday, December 12, 2021 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4307 | 4730 - 4026 |
| 5 - 8 | 4017 | 4093 - 3968 |
| 9 - 16 | 3830 | 3937 - 3779 |
| 17 - 32 | 3669 | 4119 - 3586 |
| 33 - 64 | 3424 | 3617 - 3251 |
| 65 - 128 | 3003 | 3528 - 2673 |
| 129 - 144 | 2590 | 3195 - 2169 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.