2025 RedStar Youth Challenge

Y-14 Mixed Foil

Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 4:00 PM

RedStar Fencing Club - Chicago, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KASHUBA Mila 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
2 MORALES Tycho 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
3 MEI Edan 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
3 MATIYASH Andrew 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 2%
5 REES Vaughan 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
6 RIEPP JIMENEZ Alessandro 100% 98% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
7 LIU Doris 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
8 RAJAN Anjali 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
9 STAMPS Jasper 100% 100% 91% 45% 9% < 1%
10 SHAW Isobel 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4%
11 LIU Sophia 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% -
12 GALLAGHER Ethan 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
13 ENOIU Ethan 100% 99% 83% 29% 4% -
14 STEPHAN Tyler 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 9% 1%
15 KAGAN Natalie 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
16 BADER Mia 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
17 BALTATU Emily 100% 98% 71% 30% 6% -
18 DALY Layla 100% 66% 22% 4% - -
19 DALY Ava 100% 42% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.