Reindeer Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 9:00 AM

YEL Fencing Club - Hopkins, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SEZER Kaya - - < 1% - 7% 93%
2 RUBY Asher - - 7% 30% 43% 19%
3 TAN Xinlai - - 4% 36% 61%
3 TOEWS Jackson - 1% 13% 44% 42%
5 KANG Marian - 5% 24% 43% 26% 1%
6 CRONK Trevor 6% 46% 36% 10% 1% -
7 MCKINLEY Luke - 3% 22% 55% 21%
8 WOERTER Therese-Margaret 8% 31% 40% 18% 2%
9 LINEBERRY Caden - 7% 39% 48% 5% -
10 CHEZ Nolan - - 1% 19% 74% 6%
12 STELLPFLUG Zachary 1% 12% 39% 35% 12% 1%
13 FEEHAN Conor 8% 42% 37% 11% 1%
14 IBARRA Alejandro 2% 20% 48% 27% 2% -
15 ZINSER James - - 3% 21% 49% 26%
16 GLOVER George - 8% 32% 43% 16%
17 MARTIN Wesley 8% 39% 42% 10% 1%
18 LEGGETT Emilia 25% 51% 22% 2% - -
19 BULLARD Sydney 19% 45% 30% 5% -
20 MOGENSEN Ezra 41% 47% 12% 1% -
21 HOKANSON Braddock 40% 48% 12% 1% -
22 PETERSON Quinn 46% 44% 9% 1% - -
23 BUTLER Aurelius 74% 24% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.