Reindeer Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 2:45 PM

YEL Fencing Club - Hopkins, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FOSTERVOLD Castiel - 2% 14% 33% 36% 15%
2 STELLPFLUG Zachary - 6% 23% 38% 27% 7%
3 MARTIN Wesley 1% 10% 40% 49%
3 MOGENSEN Ezra 14% 42% 36% 8%
5 WOERTER Therese-Margaret 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
6 CRONK Trevor 4% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1%
7 NEAS Derek 15% 43% 35% 7%
8 DAVIS Jace 33% 46% 19% 2%
9 HOLSTROM Cole 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
10 LAHTI Benjamin Missing ID
11 YANG Ziwen 37% 42% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.