Portland Winter RYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BEDWORTH Alistair - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
2 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
3 PESKIN Kepler - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
5 KUANG Vincent - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
6 THOMAS Noah 2% 21% 42% 29% 6%
7 CHANG Austin 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
8 SAVAGE Angus 1% 7% 28% 44% 18% 2%
9 LO Enzo - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 9%
10 PAINTER Zachary - 3% 19% 44% 34%
11 LIGERET Leo 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 6% 1%
12 CHEN Kurtis - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
13 RYU GREYSON - - 5% 28% 50% 17%
14 MARSH Wyatt 22% 45% 27% 6% - -
15 MAK Ryder 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
16 QIU Yiran 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
17 CHEN William (Max) 12% 37% 35% 14% 2% -
18 SUN Oliver 1% 16% 40% 34% 9%
19 ZHANG Dennis 6% 28% 43% 20% 3% -
20 LI Jonathan 31% 46% 20% 3% - -
21 JONES Parker 2% 23% 43% 27% 5%
22 CHO Yejin 39% 43% 16% 3% - -
23 RYU Griffin 3% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1%
24 SERBAN Aaron 73% 24% 3% - -
25 MA Madrid 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.