AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #2

Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, December 14, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HUANG Jui-An 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
2 SMIRNOVA Evangelina 100% 67% 22% 3% - < 1%
3 PARK Rachel 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
3 LI zoey 100% 96% 72% 32% 6% -
5 CHO Jacey 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
6 REDDY Annika 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
7 TAN Elliana 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% -
8 JHA Aanvi 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 15%
9 LUO Xinyue 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
10 FITCH Anna 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
11 SIDHU Myra 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
12 ALI Maryum 100% 98% 81% 41% 7% -
13 CHAIGNEAU-TAQUECHEL Isadora 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
14 CHANG Mina 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
15 LI Elaine 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
16 AGLIPAY Bella Rose 100% 100% 89% 56% 19% 2%
17 ROGERS Zoey 100% 100% 97% 78% 32% 3%
18 MYERS Cassie 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.