AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #2

Y-10 Women's Épée

Sunday, December 14, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DEFENSOR Ella 1% 11% 45% 43%
2 WAGENAAR Ava 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 1%
3 HSU Audrey 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
3 TAN Elizabeth - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
5 YANG-KUMAR Aahana - - 5% 50% 45%
6 KANG Irene Kaur - 5% 65% 28% 2%
7 YE Charlotte 38% 57% 5% - -
8 CHUNG Emilia 1% 15% 53% 32%
9 RANADE Ira 34% 53% 12% 1%
10 ZHANG Ada 40% 46% 13% 1%
12 LIU Yun-Fei - 1% 15% 49% 35%
13 ZHOU Kimberly 18% 42% 31% 9% 1% -
14 LIN Annabel 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
15 XU Melinda - 8% 30% 40% 20% 3%
16 NISHIYAMA Emma 55% 43% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.