The Crescent City Open RYC/RJCC/ROC (ICE)

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, December 14, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Riverside Hilton / Fitness Center - New Orleans, LA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YANG Zeph 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 54%
2 VILLAREAL Quentin 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
3 CLARK Timothy J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
3 PERLENFEIN Tyler J. 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1%
5 CHIZ Max H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 25%
6 FREEMAN Jake Matthew 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% < 1%
7 WOODALL Ian L. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
8 ULRICH Jacob 100% 65% 17% 2% -
9 WHEELER Bridget 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
10 SMALL slater 100% 64% 15% 1% -
11 DENG Andes 100% 88% 52% 15% 1% -
12 O'CONNOR Ryan (Ryan O'Connor) D. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 8%
13 KERTESZ Gabriel E. 100% 99% 86% 40% 3%
14 PARISI Nolan W. 100% 99% 85% 40% 3%
15 SADLER Allen 100% 85% 46% 12% 1% -
16 BROWN Paul W. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
17 RUSS Zachary 100% 91% 59% 20% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.