Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Friday, December 19, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
2 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
3 GRIGORENKO Gleb 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1%
3 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
5 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
6 GOODMAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
7 CHANG Matthew 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
8 KABANOV Gleb 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 2%
9 KIM Leejay 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
10 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 9%
11 TANG Daniel 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
12 KIM Doyun 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
13 VAN RIET Stefan 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
14 CHAUDHRY Aahil 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
15 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 10%
16 ALI Rayan 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
17 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 10%
18 KNYSH IURII 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
19 KIM Julian 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2%
20 SATHYAN Dev 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
21 VEERAVALLI Vivek 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
22 TOY Tanner 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
23 KHAVKIN Alexander 100% 93% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
24 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
25 KLUG Kleber 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
26 LEE Leo 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
27 CAMPOS Sebastian 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1%
28 NEWSOM Finn 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
29 LIU Austin 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
30 LAU Caleb 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
31 FREEMAN Jake Matthew 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
32 VEERAVALLI Pranav 100% 85% 51% 20% 5% 1% -
33 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
34 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
35 ZHANG Eric 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
36 MICU Constantin 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 15% 1%
37 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
38 OLSON Joseph 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
39 HUANG Ethan 100% 85% 46% 13% 1%
40 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
41 LIN Edison 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
42 SUYAMA Ryuki 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
43 ZHANG Aiden 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
44 LIN Daniel 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
45 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 77% 34% 7% 1%
46 PARKER Bowen 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.