Midwest ROC/RJCC

Div II Women's Épée

Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Canlan Sports Lake Barrington - Barrington, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BARANOSKI CHLOE 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
2 SCHULTZ Gillian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
3 BURKHARDT Krista L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
3 SWENSON Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
5 CHIEM Karen 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 16%
6 CHANDLER Elle 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
7 TRUSEVICH Kate 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1%
8 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
9 MANIANGLUNG Jean 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
10 HART Jenna 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
11 JORGENSEN Rebekah 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
12 CULVER Hannah 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4% -
13 MESHENBERG Zoe 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
14 TELCI Arya 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
15 WANG Emily 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3% -
16 ONO Melisa 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2% -
17 SKJEI Josephine 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% -
18 TISDALE Zaria 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
19 CHEEVER Katie 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
20 SOLODIN Katia 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.