BFA Grand Prix - Stage 2

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Bida Fencing Academy - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIKHONOV Aleksandr 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
2 LEE Jasper 100% 98% 87% 62% 30% 8% 1%
3 SIN Chad 100% 94% 69% 30% 7% 1%
3 WANG Connor 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
5 DU Zoey 100% 96% 64% 19% 1%
6 MALPICA Tao 100% 99% 90% 68% 36% 11% 1%
7 HE Andrew 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
8 LEE Jayden 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 49% 15%
9 DELL Royce 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
10 FUNG Andrew 100% 61% 18% 2% -
11 LIN Ellis 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
12 YANG Arthur 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
13 PARK Jackson 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
14 PICACHE Camilla 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
15 LU Nathan 100% 99% 83% 40% 7%
16 MAHAJAN Mira 100% 90% 57% 21% 3% -
17 NG Genevieve 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
18 GOODFELLOW Amelia 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.