Nittany Lion Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Nittany Valley Sports Centre - State College, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
2 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
3 BANSAL Ariv 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 6%
3 WU Vincent 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
5 TASIKAS Peter 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
6 CHAN Ewan 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
7 ROMBERG Sam 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%
8 VISH Manyu 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
9 PARK Layne 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
10 SONG Jerry 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
11 CORDERO Adam 100% 97% 76% 37% 8% 1%
13 MESSINGER Joshua 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4%
14 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
15 SZETO Derek 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
16 PARK Sean 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
17 GRIFFIN Sid 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% -
18 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
19 LI Jayden 100% 96% 69% 28% 5% -
20 REINHART Rowan 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
21 NEUBERGER Jakob Felix 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
22 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
23 SONG Ryan 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
24 RUBENSON Leo 100% 47% 11% 1% - -
25 BARAVARIAN Cole 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% -
26 PALERMO Evan 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% -
27 KRISHNAN Arjun 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
28 LI Felix 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
29 HONG Isaac 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
30 YU Dylan 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
31 DIORIO James 100% 94% 63% 24% 5% -
31 XU Jayden 100% 51% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.