Nittany Lion Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Nittany Valley Sports Centre - State College, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Selina 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
2 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 10%
3 DEMRY Kylee 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
3 ZHAO Selena 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
5 CAFAGNA Sofia 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
6 WU Jing 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
7 SHRESTHA Arya 100% 100% 95% 80% 49% 18% 3%
8 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 99% 86% 52% 15% 1%
9 MENON Maya 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
10 CANARAN Daphne M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
11 ONO Lisa 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
12 KRANKEL Claire 100% 96% 70% 29% 5% -
13 LIAO Audrey 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
14 DATLA Aanya 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
15 ZHOU Coraline 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
16 CHANG Grace 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
17 LASS Genevieve 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
18 KHAN Ayesha 100% 100% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
19 CHAN Isla 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
20 KRISHNAN Anu 100% 44% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.