October NAC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, October 20, 2019 at 10:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
2 DESROSIERS Olivier 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
3 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
3 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
5 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
6 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
7 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 20%
8 HEATHCOCK Colin Yang Siqi 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
9 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
10 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
11 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
12 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
13 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
14 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
15 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
16 VASILYEV Nikita K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
17 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
18 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 24%
19 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
20 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
20 KIM Andrew H. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
22 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
23 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
24 KIM Sean G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
25 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
26 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
27 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 14%
28 KIM Minwook 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
29 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
30 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 8%
31 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
32 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 34% 8%
33 YANG Kevin S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
34 PAN Jerry 100% 99% 93% 72% 41% 14% 2%
35 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
36 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 11%
36 DANNULL Lukas J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
38 DROZ Camden J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 12%
39 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
40 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
40 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
40 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
43 PEDERSEN Leif 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
44 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
45 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
46 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
47 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
48 YOUNG Nash 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
49 DIACOS Jordan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
50 LIN John A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
51 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
52 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
53 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 88% 42% 10% 1% - -
54 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
54 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
56 LIU David J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
57 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
58 OWENS William 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
59 VAN DER MERWE Fabian 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
60 PASTOR-JOBIN Matis 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
61 YANG Richard 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
62 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
63 TRINH Trevor Z. 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 2%
64 BARBER William S. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
65 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
66 LIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
67 POPE Nico 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
68 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
69 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
70 SMITH Mitchell M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
71 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1%
72 KIM Alexander M. 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
73 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
74 NEUHEARDT Peter 100% 98% 86% 55% 23% 5% -
75 RAI Avin 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 10%
76 FLORES Peter D. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
77 LI Joshua L. 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
78 LIU kelly 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 5% -
79 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 3%
80 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
81 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
82 BAILEY Asher 100% 99% 91% 63% 28% 6% 1%
83 LE Hayden 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
84 AURAY Phileas 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
84 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 98% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
86 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 17%
87 LO Joshua H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
88 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
89 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
89 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
89 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 90% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
92 REYES Xavier M. 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
93 LEE Justin 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
94 ALKIN Isaac 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
95 TONG ZACHARY 100% 99% 81% 46% 15% 3% -
96 NG Jonathan H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
97 CHO Brandon 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
97 HAMMER Peter A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
99 TANG Alex Y. 100% 99% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
100 CORTINO Mathieu 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
101 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
102 HUANG Eric 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
103 SMITLEY Tyler J. 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 3% -
103 LIU Jonathan M. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
105 SLOCOMBE Xavier 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
106 GREEN IV James (Bud) 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 22% 4%
107 TANN Justin 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
108 COLE Alexander 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
109 CHANG Eliot A. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
110 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
111 LUO ZIRUI 100% 96% 76% 40% 13% 2% -
112 HARRIS Alex K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
113 LASORSA Matthew 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
114 LEVIN Mark A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
115 RAJA Arnav 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
116 ZHOU Kevin 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
117 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
117 MORRILL Justin 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
119 BERMAN Luca 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
120 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 99% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
121 CHANG Colin S. 100% 100% 95% 65% 25% 5% -
122 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
123 MORREALE John 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
124 XU Luke 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% - -
125 GILMORE Thomas W. 100% 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
126 JUNG Junhwan 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
127 FENG Leo 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
128 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
129 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
130 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 82% 41% 12% 2% - -
131 PAN Andrew W. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
132 JARAMILLO Tobias L. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
133 MILLER Levi H. 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
134 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 5% -
135 XU William 100% 99% 74% 34% 9% 1% -
136 GUZZO Vito 100% 22% 2% - - - -
137 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
138 BOURGHOL Matthew 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% - -
139 ASHBY Ethan J. 100% 85% 51% 20% 5% 1% -
140 JEAN Noe T. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 4%
141 HASNAH Henry 100% 99% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
142 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
143 NARANJO David E. 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
144 YUN Jake 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
145 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
146 YOUNG Brendon 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 6% -
147 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
148 HONG Steven 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
149 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 100% 91% 63% 26% 6% 1%
150 ZHOU Miles 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
151 DU Gavin J. 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
152 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
153 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
154 LEITH Jack 100% 55% 9% 1% - - -
155 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
156 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
157 LEONARD Cole 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
158 REN Richard 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
159 DEWEY Charles J. 100% 90% 54% 19% 4% - -
160 CHAN Chaplin Cheuk Lun 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
161 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
161 SUN David 100% 35% 5% - - - -
163 NI AMEN Zahir K. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 2%
164 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 5% -
165 CHENNURU Nischal 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
165 TREJO Oliver 100% 76% 32% 5% - - -
167 KOTOV Leonid 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% -
168 ELIN Adam E. 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
168 MORRILL William 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
168 KOSURI Harsha 100% 41% 7% - - - -
171 KORINTH Alexander J. 100% 19% 2% - - - -
172 MORTON-SALMON Sasha 100% 87% 37% 8% 1% - -
173 WANG Charles 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
173 NGUYEN Andrew 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
175 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
175 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
175 MICHNA Colin P. 100% 82% 44% 15% 3% - -
175 LOWHAM-RUZZO Alexander J. 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -
175 PANDEY Neil 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
175 GEORGE Daniel 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
181 LIN Andrew 100% 36% 4% - - - -
181 POLSER John 100% 29% 4% - - - -
183 BAUER Hank E. 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
183 ZHOU Brian 100% 91% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
183 PITTS Connor 100% 28% 3% - - - -
186 FORT David 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
187 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 66% 14% 1% - - -
187 REED Samuel J. 100% 74% 27% 5% - - -
189 GUTSCHKE Braxton 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.