Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Épée

Friday, December 26, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Caroline 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
2 MEMON Insha 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 8%
3 WEI Sherry 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
3 JU Jennifer 100% 99% 85% 45% 9%
5 PILSON Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
6 BISONO Valentina 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 33%
7 SHIN Jamie 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 2%
8 JIANG Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20% 2%
9 LEE Kate 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
10 KWON Claire 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
11 KANG Lyla Missing ID
12 AVALOS Sofia 100% 66% 21% 3% -
13 LI Xier 100% 98% 83% 43% 8%
14 BENAVIDES Samantha 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 4%
15 SONKU Mira 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
16 HAGERMAN Siona 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
17 GOPU Jyothirvida 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% -
18 PRAVEEN Nehara 100% 89% 58% 22% 4% - -
18 GORE Amina 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
20 STEEL Jane 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
21 KANEVA Eliana 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
22 DROLET Julia 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
23 KALI Aiana 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
24 PORTER Cora 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
25 THOMPSON Grace 100% 77% 30% 5% -
26 BUNCH Halle 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.