Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Friday, December 26, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YADAV Tishya 1% 7% 30% 45% 17%
2 DAVIDOVA Kira - < 1% 5% 32% 63%
3 MCAFEE Jada 1% 12% 39% 40% 7%
3 ZHENG Winona - 3% 15% 36% 36% 11%
5 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
6 LEE Kaitlin 4% 25% 44% 23% 3%
7 VATS Ishita 3% 22% 46% 26% 3%
8 JOSHI Samika 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
9 KNOBEL Sophia - 2% 13% 43% 42%
10 TOPALOV Julia 12% 44% 35% 9% -
11 CANARAN Daphne M. 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
12 LIU Teresa 54% 38% 8% 1% -
13 HUANG Zoe 3% 23% 39% 27% 7% 1%
14 OH Chloe 28% 46% 22% 4% -
15 PHILLIPPY Hannah 27% 46% 23% 4% -
16 SHOWKIER Amal 56% 35% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.