October NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Monday, October 21, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZAGUNIS Mariel L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49%
2 BURKE Nora S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
3 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 12%
3 JOHNSON Honor B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
5 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
6 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
7 MOSS Zara J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
8 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 24%
9 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
10 THOMPSON Kamali A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
11 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
12 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
13 MERZA Celina 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
14 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 12%
15 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 10%
16 LIANG Megan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 4%
17 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 12% 1%
18 RUSSO Francesca 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
19 THEODORE Maria A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
20 MORALES Jessica Y. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
21 LI Anna M. 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
22 SHELTON Aleksandra 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 30%
23 DI PERNA Chiara I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 41%
24 AVAKIAN Mikaela 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
25 TIMOFEYEV Daniella 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 13%
26 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
27 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 2%
28 STONE Anne-Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
29 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28% 4%
30 HOOGENDOORN Levi 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
31 KOVACS Sophia 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
32 WOZNIAK Kelli 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
33 ANGLADE Alexis C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
34 BLUM Leah I. 100% 97% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
35 JOHNSON Edith (Tori) V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
36 YUN Joy 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 5%
36 MOYA Keona L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
38 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
39 LINDER Kara E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
40 ZEGERS Anneke E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
41 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 2% -
42 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
43 MICHEL Violet N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
44 AKSAMIT Monica 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
45 MERZA Sarah 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
46 JENKINS Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
47 MILLER Tiffany D. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
48 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
48 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
50 KATZ Anat 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
51 TANG Annie L. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
52 LACSON Sarah 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
53 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
54 BERMAN Stella 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
55 ROH Rachel E. 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
56 KONG Vera 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
57 TZOU Alexandra 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
58 MENTZER Katherine 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
59 MARSEE Samantha 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
60 HASSAN Aziza R. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
61 STONE Hava S. 100% 94% 64% 23% 3% -
62 HILL Julia W. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
63 AKARD Micah M. 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% - -
64 TAO Hannah J. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
65 SECK Chejsa-Kaili F. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
66 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
66 TARTELL Abby 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
68 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2%
69 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 97% 78% 38% 7% -
70 WALTER Zsofia R. 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
70 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 18% 2%
72 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 15%
73 SONG Robyn 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
74 CHEEMA Sophia 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 3% -
75 YAP Madeline 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
75 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
77 DUNGEY Amelia S. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
78 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
79 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
80 CHEN Xinyan 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
81 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
82 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
83 COIMBRA Miya Y. 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
84 BEALE Zoe M. 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1% -
85 BUCHMANN Vivien 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
86 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3% -
87 HAN Jeanette X. 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
88 REDDY Shreya 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
89 CHAN Audrey 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
90 KUDRIAVTSEVA Daria 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
91 WU Erica L. 100% 95% 70% 29% 5% - -
92 WHANG Rebecca 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
93 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
94 FLOREZ Melissa 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
95 TANG Catherine H. 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
96 SHEA Erin 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
96 KIM Catherine 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
98 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 95% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
99 DRAGON Rainer 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
100 HOOGENDOORN Sterre 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
101 MATAIEV Natalie S. 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
102 STAPLETON Lindsay K. 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
103 PRIESTLEY Catherine (Cate) C. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
104 SHEN Sarah 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
105 DOHERTY Maverick L. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
106 ZHUANG Zhesi (Jessica) 100% 71% 26% 4% - - -
107 LU Yi Lin 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
108 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
109 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 74% 33% 9% 1% - -
110 KOBOZEVA Tamara V. 100% 96% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
111 KYNETT Kathryn G. 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
112 LIM Isabel K. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
113 GHOSH Priyanka 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
114 NEIBART Fiona 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
115 KALRA Himani V. 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
116 MIN Isabella K. 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
116 HE Charlotte 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
118 YODER Bridget H. 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
119 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
119 CALVERT Sarah-Jane E. 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
121 SHIN Andrea Y. 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
122 LI Victoria J. 100% 85% 51% 18% 4% - -
123 SIERRA Kate 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
123 KALRA Siya L. 100% 78% 38% 10% 2% - -
123 MARQUES Hannah 100% 29% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.