October NAC

Div II Women's Épée

Monday, October 21, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BEI Karen 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
2 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
3 YANG Miranda (Yinuo) 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
3 NAHAPETYAN Datev 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
5 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
6 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
7 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
8 SLACKMAN Valerie 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
9 JANOWSKI Madeline (Madeline Janowski) A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
10 LEANG Andrea K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
11 POIRIER Ariane 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 6%
12 TIMMONS Sarah J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
13 MAYER Ingrid V. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
13 XIA Chelsea W. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 20% 3%
15 SMUK Daria A. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
16 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
17 SHEN Stephanie 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
18 STOJANOVIC Mina 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
19 MAO Amy 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% -
20 DARANOUVONG Logan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
21 HUANG Hannah T. 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
22 ADVINCULA Anabella E. 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
23 LIN Julia L. 100% 99% 92% 69% 37% 11% 1%
24 MYERS Helen Sophia A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
24 LAVERY Chloe K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 11%
26 TSANG JAFFE Avi 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
27 BELSLEY Devon K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
28 NING Emma 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
29 EBRAHIM Ameera H. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
30 BUCKINGHAM Emma N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
30 ZAKHAROV Anne E. 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
30 GU Sarah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
33 DE JAGER Celine 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
34 SIBLEY Elisabeth J. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
35 SCHAFF Marlene M. 100% 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 3%
36 ROBERTSON Lily 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
37 FENG Kelly L. 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2%
38 TAYLOR Kiera S. 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
38 LIN Waiyuk 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
40 SCHLIEP Anna J. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
41 SAAL Anna 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10% -
42 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
43 SOIN Anika A. 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
44 ACHTERBERG Samantha (Sammy) K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 7%
45 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
46 KIM Erika S. 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 3% -
47 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
48 O'REILLY Aeryn E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
49 DANIEL Olivia 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 1%
50 BANKS Lauren M. 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
51 PARDO Sarah 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 4% -
52 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
53 ZHOU Lei 100% 96% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
54 PRIMES Amanda M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 2%
55 GOLDBERG Sophie C. 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
56 JI Catherine 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 12% 1%
57 CHIRASHNYA Noya 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% 1%
58 WEISS Olivia 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
59 CAVNAR Peyton 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
60 SINGH Aayushi 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
61 GLASSNER Sophia Rose S. 100% 98% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
62 SON Katherine (Injee) 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
63 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
64 ROWLAND May 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
65 BARNES Olivia R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
66 HONG Elaine 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
67 CORDERO Allison 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
68 JAMES Josephine 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
69 MOK Chloe R. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
70 PARKER Emilie Rose (Rosie) 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
71 HEINRICH Eva 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
72 KERAMANE Halah Z. 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
73 SHUM Jessica 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
74 MILEWSKI Samantha 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
75 SCHMULTS Sophie W. 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
76 PARKER Sheridan 100% 94% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
77 LUONG Shirley 100% 99% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1%
78 DU Yiyun (Doreen) 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
79 SHERTZ Kira E. 100% 99% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
79 LI Tiffany 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
81 RHEA Heather 100% 73% 31% 8% 1% - -
82 LONGSTREET Olivia 100% 32% 4% - - - -
82 RAUSCH Juliana 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
84 JANNEY Erynn "Renn" 100% 86% 46% 14% 2% - -
85 OSBORN Sabrina 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
86 O'HAGAN Eleanor G. 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
87 GAURIAT Jade S. 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
88 BOLES Savvianna 100% 95% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
89 CARBO laura 100% 23% 2% - - - -
90 CARLSON Ava 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
91 HERDMAN Samantha J. 100% 78% 37% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.