MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 JOESUF Thea 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
2 SITU Baiqin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 24%
3 LAI Olivia 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
3 FUNG Caleb 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 8% 1%
5 ZHANG Charlie 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
6 HO Kasper 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 52% 21% 4%
7 ZHAI Muyan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
8 LEE Reiden 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
9 COOK Owen 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
10 SOUSA Lauren 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% - -
11 FUNG Lucas 100% 89% 56% 22% 4% - -
12 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% - -
13 CHUNG Lucas 100% 98% 89% 65% 33% 11% 2% -
14 MABRY Vivienne 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% - -
15 SIN Chad 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.