Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Cadet Women's Épée

Friday, January 2, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KROPP Anne (Charlie) - - - 5% 29% 66%
2 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) - - 3% 20% 49% 29%
3 PILSON Rebecca - - 2% 15% 47% 36%
3 LIANG Carina - 3% 21% 49% 26%
5 OLELE Ifechi - - - 1% 6% 34% 60%
6 LI Xier - - 3% 16% 38% 35% 7%
7 SHIN Jamie - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
8 SHETH Anayaà - 5% 25% 45% 21% 3%
9 MARISI Gianna - 2% 15% 45% 37%
10 ZHANG Sophia 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
12 YOON Elsa 10% 37% 39% 13% 1% -
13 DROLET Julia 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
14 KELSEY Fabienne 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5% -
15 THOMPSON Grace 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
16 MORET Teagan 41% 43% 14% 2% - -
17 KWON Claire 1% 8% 27% 39% 23% 3%
18 HAGERMAN Siona 3% 20% 37% 30% 9% 1%
19 WU Madisen 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
20 GORDON Hannah 13% 39% 37% 11% 1%
21 PRAVEEN Nehara 11% 39% 38% 11% 1% -
22 NAPOLI Eleanor 17% 44% 32% 7% -
23 CHI Evelyn 33% 42% 20% 4% - -
24 PARK Suhjee 6% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
25 SINGH Tavleen 28% 45% 23% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.