Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Friday, January 2, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 HAFEZ Sahar - - 1% 15% 84%
2 PARK Hannah - 2% 18% 45% 35%
3 HUANG Gabrielle - 2% 16% 45% 37%
3 MA Laurie 8% 31% 41% 19% 1%
5 CHEN Arianna 1% 11% 39% 39% 11%
6 MCKINNEY Olivia 1% 8% 31% 43% 17%
7 YAO Emma - 7% 33% 44% 16%
8 LEE Soli 39% 44% 15% 2% -
9 WU Karina 8% 32% 41% 18% 1%
10 JIANG Arwen 24% 50% 22% 3% -
11 HUANG Jiayu 3% 22% 42% 27% 5%
12 SOMAN Nabha 12% 37% 38% 13% -
13 TAKAHASHI Rio 23% 43% 28% 6% -
14 WILK Catherine 48% 43% 9% 1% -
15 ZHANG Amber 17% 43% 31% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.