Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Veteran Men's Foil

Friday, January 2, 2026 at 2:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TOMASI John - 1% 10% 35% 46% 8%
2 NACU Robert - - - 5% 34% 61%
3 SHEYNKMAN Leon - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
3 WU Geoffrey 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 5%
5 FRENZINGER Douglas - - - 2% 24% 73%
6 LUNG Po nam 4% 21% 39% 29% 7% -
7 BUCHANAN Jonah - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
8 BAZZLE Christopher E. 3% 21% 42% 29% 5% -
9 LEE Hans 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 1%
10 NEWELL Tim 23% 43% 27% 6% - -
11 MAHNKEN Thomas G. - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
12 CROWE Nathan 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2%
13 RUSANOV Oleg 1% 12% 36% 39% 11% 1%
14 DOVER Felix - 1% 6% 29% 49% 15%
15 ZAIDI Sohail 16% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
16 LEUNG Ricky 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 3%
17 GALVAN Ivan 27% 43% 24% 6% - -
18 CHANDLEE Richard (Rick) 43% 40% 14% 2% - -
19 CHAO Pierre 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% -
19 CHANDLEE Thomas 10% 37% 36% 15% 3% -
21 JENKINS Michael 46% 40% 13% 2% - -
22 BOTWINICK Nelson G. 11% 37% 37% 14% 2% -
23 ROGERS Windell 9% 34% 39% 16% 2% -
24 STADTHER Christopher J. 6% 26% 40% 24% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.