Treasure Chest RYC/Y8

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Chenyu 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
2 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 47%
3 LI Allison 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
3 DYMAR Anna 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 33%
5 ZHAO Ellie 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
6 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 24%
7 BI Ziyi 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
8 CHO Jacey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 35%
9 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
10 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 28%
11 LI Anna 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
12 RASHID Summer 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 22%
13 HUANG Sophie 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
14 YU Jiaming 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
15 SUNG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43% 8%
16 YANG Emma 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1% -
17 REN Ivanka 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
18 GRAZIANO Josephine 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
19 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 15%
20 WARBURTON Eleanor 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
21 HUANG Jui-An 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
22 FITCH Anna 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
23 ZHU Anna 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1% -
24 LI Celine 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% - -
25 SIDHU Myra 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
26 LI Zoey 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
27 XIE Zhiran (Celine) 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% - -
28 HUYNH Evangeline 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
29 DEJOY Leilah 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5% -
30 STERNAD Pia 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
31 STEPHAN Antje Elisa 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% - -
32 WANG Grace 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
33 LUCAS Cynthia 100% 95% 69% 28% 4% - -
34 MUKKU Emily 100% 97% 80% 41% 9% 1% -
35 GRAZIANO Ruby Mae 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
36 SINGLETARY Iona 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
37 SMIRNOVA Evangelina 100% 86% 47% 12% 1% - -
38 KEDAN Carmella 100% 70% 26% 4% - - -
39 REDDY Annika 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
40 PARK Rachel 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
41 KAYMAN June 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
42 CHANG Mikayla 100% 99% 87% 45% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.