Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Y-8 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIU Kyle 1% 13% 39% 37% 10% -
2 NIU Charlie 1% 7% 28% 44% 20% 1%
3 NACU Andre 9% 36% 39% 14% 2% -
3 CHOI Christian 1% 14% 40% 35% 10% < 1%
5 WOOD Oliver 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
6 SHOEMAKER-TRINH Kai 44% 40% 14% 2% - -
7 TAKAHASHI Genya 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
8 TANG Aiden 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1%
9 REN Johnny - 2% 14% 36% 37% 10%
10 GALIOTE Ian - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
11 YOUNG Sage - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
12 ZHANG chris < 1% 2% 15% 37% 36% 10%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.