Event Results

Y-8 Mixed Épée

Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCSurprise Map

Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM Fredericksburg Convention Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA

5 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	HARSAR Cleo	V V V V	V V	2.9	4	+1.1
2	SAAD Emmalyn	D V V V	V D	1.4	3	+1.6
3	GAO Jessica	V D V D	D	1.6	2	+0.4
3	GANT Buhawi	D V D D	V D	2.0	1	-1.0
5	IVANOV Amelie	D D D D	D	2.2	0	-2.2

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

The future of US Fencing is at stake!