2026 TCFC January Challenges

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 8:30 AM

Twin Cities Fencing Club - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HENKELMAN Grayson - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
2 IBARRA Alejandro - 3% 15% 38% 35% 9%
3 JONES Sam J. - - - 3% 32% 65%
3 MARTIN Wesley 2% 15% 42% 36% 5%
5 LEGGETT Emilia 11% 42% 35% 11% 1% -
6 OLSON Emerson - - 2% 23% 74%
7 CLIPPARD Erik J. - - 5% 28% 60% 6%
8 KOTCH Brodie 22% 44% 28% 6% - -
9 NARANJO David E. 5% 28% 44% 21% 1%
10 NEPAL Noukou Asha 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
11 DAVIS Jace W. 4% 29% 44% 20% 3% -
12 CHRISTENSEN Jack 30% 46% 21% 3% -
13 MOGENSEN Ezra 21% 45% 28% 6% -
14 YUAN Nathaniel 3% 18% 40% 34% 5% -
15 SUNDSBAK Evan 2% 35% 44% 17% 2% -
16 SNEE Russell - 4% 22% 43% 27% 4%
17 MOKBEL Yassin 2% 34% 47% 16% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.