Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUYNH Kaleb - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
2 ALANAZI Saif - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
3 LIU Mason 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
3 HUDSON Jedidiah - 1% 6% 27% 45% 21%
5 HOLLANDER Max - - 3% 17% 45% 35%
6 HAN Owen 2% 16% 39% 33% 9% 1%
7 HAN Jayden 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
8 LIANG Anker 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
9 COHEN Benjamin - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
10 WILLIAMS Zakayo 1% 14% 36% 34% 12% 1%
11 CREANGA Matthew 7% 35% 40% 16% 2% -
12 ABAYA Jacob 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
13 STANSBURY Malcolm 56% 35% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.